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WIDERAngle

Season's Greetings 2023

 
 
 
Season's Greetings 2023 from colleagues and friends at UNU-WIDER
 
Season's Greetings from colleagues and friends at UNU-WIDER  
 
On behalf of the United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER), we wish you a happy holiday season and a prosperous new year!
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Close-up of a marble on concrete pavement. Photo by Joshua Fuller on Unsplash
 
Looking back, moving forward – a photo retrospective of the 2019-2023 WIDER Work Programme
by Kunal Sen
 
As we conclude the groundbreaking years of the 2019–2023 work programme on transforming economies, states, and societies, we reflect on the milestones achieved and anticipate the journey ahead. 
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Blogs
 
Worn and crumbled butterfly wing. Photo by Dominik Scythe on Unsplash
Development aid cuts will hit fragile countries hard, could fuel violent conflict
by Patricia Justino and Laura Saavedra-Lux
 
Fragile and least developed countries have had their development assistance cut drastically, according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. For instance, net official development assistance to sub-Saharan African countries has shrunk by 7.8% compared to 2021. And development aid for peace and conflict prevention has declined to its lowest in 15 years.
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Scattered coins on a flat surface. Photo by Steve Johnson on Unsplash
 
Realizing socioeconomic rights with a limited budget
by Philippe Burger
 
The South African constitution is considered progressive and transformative in intention due to its inclusion of socioeconomic rights, such as the right to education, food, and healthcare. However, some of these rights are qualified by the availability of state resources, which places an imperative on government to realize these rights progressively as resources become available.
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A gas station that has been torn apart by hurricane. Photo by Carl Kho on Unsplash
 
How climate change increases vulnerability to human trafficking in the Philippines
by Marta Furlan
 

As COP28 unfolds, I share new findings on the impact of climate change on human rights violations and, more specifically, on human trafficking as addressed in Target 8.7 of SDG 8: Decent work. Following extensive community-based field research in the Philippines, the intersection of climate change and human trafficking is getting increasingly clearer.

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Four post-it notes on a wall. Original photo by Nathan Dumlao on Unsplash
 
Unpacking 'country ownership': four messages from the field
by Debapriya Bhattacharya, Towfiqul Islam Khan, and Najeeba Mohammed Altaf
 
The new and improved Global Partnership monitoring framework for effective development co-operation, launched in 2022, is now fully in motion, with over 50 countries participating. One of its most novel aspects is the emphasis on 'collective accountability' as a cross-cutting dimension across the entire framework. This underscores that understanding the complexity of ‘ownership’ within the development landscape is vital to attaining development effectiveness. 
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Broken store window at night time. Photo by Amber Kipp on Unsplash
 
Why are frontiers and borderlands more conflict prone—and what have institutions got to do with this?
by Adeel Malik, Rinchan Ali Mirza, and Faiz Ur Rehman
 
According to a recent OECD Report, borderlands experience a greater intensity of violence, especially violence targeted against the state. While there is an expanding literature on the causes of civil conflict, we do not yet fully know why state peripheries are more prone to violence.
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NEWS
 
New release of the World Income Inequality Database – new WIID version includes updates to the WIID Companion datasets 
 

28 November 2023 | The UNU-WIDER World Income Inequality Database―widely known by its acronym WIID―provides the most comprehensive set of income inequality statistics available. It presents detailed information on income inequality for most countries and historical entities (201). The latest version of the WIID can be downloaded here.

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Stark estimates on eradication of poverty gain media interest
 
UNU-WIDER working paper on the progress towards eradication of poverty has been highlighted in several media. The WIDER Working Paper ‘Will economic growth be sufficient to end global poverty? New projections of the UN Sustainable Development Goals‘ by Arief Anshory Yusuf, Zuzy Anna, Ahmad Komarulzaman, and Andy Sumner, estimates that 600 million people will remain in extreme poverty by 2030 despite the efforts towards sustainable development goals.
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WIDER Working Papers
 
Torquise, orange, light orange and yellow diagonal sections. Photo by Codioful (Formerly Gradienta)  on Unsplash
Working Paper

Differential bunching impacts across the income distribution – 
evidence from Zambian tax administrative data

by Samuel Bryson, Kwabena Adu-Ababio, Evaristo Mwale, and John Rand

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White 3D bar chart. Photo by Алекс Арцибашев on Unsplash
Working Paper

Global minimum corporate income tax – 
challenges and prospects for Uganda

by Corti Paul Lakuma and Rehema Kahunde

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Five stacks of coins of different sizes. Photo by Ibrahim Rifath on Unsplash
Working Paper

Wage inequality, firm characteristics, and firm wage premia in South Africa

by Shakeba Foster

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Piggy bank eating coins on a table. Photo by Andre Taissin on Unsplash
Working Paper

A reform option for pension fund contribution as tax expenditure in South Africa – a microsimulation model approach using tax administrative data

by Ada Jansen, Winile Ngobeni, and Wynnona Steyn

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Folds of blue fabric on a flat surface. Photo by Adam Frazier on Unsplash
Working Paper

Degrees of disadvantage

by Chinmayi Srikanth

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A man riding a motorcycle with a delivery cart down a street. Photo by Ato Aikins on Unsplash
Working Paper

Sectoral shifts and labour market outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa

by Amie M. Jobe and Roberto Ricciuti

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Publications
 
 
Research Brief | Why are businesses in the capital area of Uganda not paying their taxes? Combining tax data and Google Street View images
 

The issue of tax non-compliance among businesses is pervasive in many developing economies, including Uganda. But to what extent do businesses comply with their tax obligations in the capital city, Kampala? Can the local environment and geographic information help predict the risk of tax non-compliance?

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Person holding magnifying glass during daytime. Photo by Sam on Unsplash
 
Research Brief | The prolonged effects of terrorism – a closer look
by Vincenzo Bove, Georgios Efthyvoulou, and Harry Pickard
 

Terrorist violence has a profound influence on social attitudes, including trust in governmental institutions and attitudes towards migration and civil freedoms. Acts of terrorism cause citizens to experience a complex range of negative emotions, including anxiety, anger, sorrow, and a sense of vulnerability and helplessness. Research on the magnitude and duration of these effects may play an important role in efforts to build peace and reduce violence in the world.

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Pink and blue abstract art resembling colored liquid. Photo by Pawel Czerwinski on Unsplash
 
Journal Article | Fiscal dependence on extractive revenues – measurement and concepts
by Kyle McNabb

Journal | Resources Policy

 

OPEN ACCESS | This study proposes a new measure of Fiscal Dependence on Extractive revenues: FDE. The FDE estimates, simply, the extent to which extractive-producing countries can fund day-to-day government spending with non-extractive revenues.

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Lots of cardboard boxes. Photo by CHUTTERSNAP on Unsplash
 
Journal Article | Imports, supply chains and firm productivity
by Carol Newman, John Rand, and Finn Tarp

Journal | World Development

 

This study explores how competition-induced productivity gains from imports in intermediate producing sectors transmit through the supply chain. Based on firm-level panel data from Vietnam, we show that in addition to the productivity premium associated with importing intermediate inputs, firms that use domestically-produced inputs from more import-intensive sectors also have higher productivity.

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Students in a classroom and teacher speaking to them. Photo by Kenny Eliason on Unsplash
 
Journal Article | Do disadvantaged students benefit from attending classes with more skilled colleagues? Evidence from a top university in Brazil 
by Rodrigo Oliveira, Henrique Z. Motte, and Alei Santos

Journal | Labour Economics

 

Using two rich administrative data sets and a rule of admission at one top university in Brazil that splits students into two classes, we apply a regression discontinuity design to study the effect of class allocation on academic performance and labor market outcomes. The last student of the first class will have higher-ability peers but a lower ordinal rank than the first student of the second class.

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Mobilepayment device with receipt paper coming out. Photo by Towfiqu barbhuiya on Unsplash
 
Journal Article | Payment delay in workfare programmes and household welfare – theory and some evidence from India
by Parantap Basu, Rajesh Raj S.N., and Kunal Sen

Journal | The Manchester School

 
OPEN ACCESS ON EARLY VIEW | Using the lens of a life-cycle model, we argue that an administrative failure of a wage payment delay in a workfare programme could adversely affect the welfare of the poor through two channels. First, it imposes an implicit consumption tax on the household. Second, it changes the status of labour from a 'cash' to a 'credit' good and encourages workers with negative net worth to work harder to clear off the debt. 
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Cambridge Elements in Development Economics. Economic Transformation and Income Distribution in China over Three Decades
 
Book | Economic Transformation and Income Distribution in China over Three Decades
by Cai Meng, Björn Gustafsson, and John Knight
 

OPEN ACCESS | It is arguable that the most important event in the world economy in recent decades has been the rise of China, from being on a par with sub-Sahara Africa at the start of economic reform to being an economic superpower today. That rise remains under-researched.

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Cambridge Elements in Development Economics
 
Book | Chilean Economic Development under Neoliberalism – structural Transformation, High Inequality and Environmental Fragility
by Andrés Solimano and Gabriela Zapata-Román
 
IN PRODUCTION | This publication examines the process of economic development of the last 50 years or so under the neoliberal model in terms of impacts on growth, inflation, income and wealth distribution and structural change. The analysis includes a historical perspective from the nineteenth century to the present and combines economic analysis with a political economy approach.
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Opportunities
 
Request for research proposals | Macroeconomic analysis and policy modelling 
 
SA-TIED programme is opening a request for research proposals. The papers produced under this request will be published as a part of the macro-fiscal analysis and policy modelling workstream of the programme. The call invites South Africa-based researchers to apply. Closing date: 12 January 2024
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